Monday, January 17, 2011

Comment on tape forced two bad afternoon diving! Afternoon Strategy

 Shanghai Composite Index opened 2772.45 points today, up 2780.94 points, the lowest 2,730.75 points, to close at 2732.90 points, down 58.31 points, or 2.10%, turnover of 53.62 billion; Shanghai 55 up, 877 down; today into Shenzhen refers to the opening 12,159.95 points, the highest 12,229.56 points, the lowest 11,855.22 points, to close at 11,882.0 points, down 412.20 points, or 3.35%, turnover of 41.87 billion; Shenzhen City, 65 up, 1179 down.

news of today are: Chinese President Hu Jintao in January 18 to 21 visit to the U.S. on the eve of his written interview to the conditions and the ability to stabilize the general price level. He also pointed out that the exchange rate change is the result of many factors, inflation and exchange rate policy is hardly a major factor in the decision.

central bank vice governor Liu Yu recently said that in 2011 put the development of financial markets and credit policy guidance to enhance the ability to combine and further promote the products of the credit policy, credit policy guidance to improve results.

CSRC Chairman Shang Fulin said recently that to further promote the capital market, clean government and fighting corruption, lies in the party lies in the SFC system, leading groups and leading cadres at all levels. To accurately grasp the anti-corruption capital market situation and new tasks facing the new, honest government, and fully understand the long-term struggle against corruption, complex and arduous nature, and further enhance the sense of responsibility, sense of mission.

by the central bank raised the reserve impact of 50 basis points, the two cities showed a lower opening shock pattern today, stock index fell below the half line. Section point of view, only a color and a few copper and other metal plates to benefit good bounce, a little meteoric rise, other plates have both been adjusted, real estate, building materials, agriculture, forestry, computer, gold, carbon, things, electronic payment, wind power , travel and hotel, Xinjiang, Hebei, Anhui, Hunan and other sections are down more than 1 point over which the real estate sector led by the broader market was close to the 2.5% decline, policy control is expected to pressure the larger the plate, carefully.

whole, the average gradually pressed down on the index structure, market outlook, will form the main stock index volatility is expected to adjust the pattern; the future regulation of CPI index for the period of time by introducing the credit regulation, price control, real estate policy control, etc. put pressure on the index, the main topics on the continuation of the recent operation of the idea of the annual report, market, restructuring-related opportunities and events are expected to maintain attention. Individual stocks, Yunnan germanium industry, Jinyu Automobile City, Chihong Zinc and Germanium, co-Kang frequency, ING Group, the clean water source, central NC, in the gold Lingnan, Dacheng shares, a long letter Technology, Eastern Sunrise, such as stocks rose Fengzhu front, from the point of view stocks rise front, germanium strategic purchasing and storage resources is expected to disclose the report sent to turn the high expectations, significant pre-performance increase, performance losses, group restructuring and other topics better stock movements, in which strategic purchasing and storage resources, the expected Ge Germanium sector rose a strong Yunnan daily limit; stocks decline from point of view, the recent trend of new shares generally poor care.

market analysis, shortly after the close on Friday, the central bank announced the increase in deposit reserve ratio of the notice, which can be seen as the causes of the broader market fell. Does it release this bad, can quickly rebound index it? At least, from the present situation, can not be too optimistic. This recovery of 350 billion liquidity is January the amount of days the credit will appear to do the buffer, the overall market liquidity is still very comfortable. In addition, economic data released Thursday, will suppress the market risks of high inflation, or even the data can be interpreted as too high, the central bank taking the lead, before considering further tightening policies, such as raising interest rates. Therefore, the recent market is the biggest negative factors of psychological interest rates, it is not released outside the capital difficult approach impulse. In addition, the New Deal have been put forward over the housing market, Wuhan, severe restriction of comparison, in line with the conditions of a home purchase can only buy a house, which is an upgraded version of the second round of regulation, the key lies in local government and relevant interest groups Can vigorous enforcement, otherwise, will be empty talk. Even if other cities follow suit, it is only Telecommunications investment analysts believe that China operations, such as the broader market hit a 5, a smooth line can not stand, it will continue downward to find support for the disadvantaged, such as the inertia of the area get down in the 2770 point support, do have the needs of vulnerable rebound, is still the 5th line The first pressure level. In short, the index is not high-volume breakout cable 30, not blind approach rebound. The real bottom of the characteristics of large-scale emission Kong Huangpan, while not reflected in the present volume.

Huaxun investment that morning the market opened low, the antenna 120 stock index last line of defense did not have any chance against the declaration of the fall. Shanghai has more consecutive trading days hovering in the hundreds of billions of transactions below the Shenzhen market also dropped to six or seven billion. Downturn in the volume does not support the heavyweights continue to rise, but do not support full-blown hot market, price is rising heavyweight small market shares diving theme. If by short-term impact of raising the deposit reserve ratio, the next support level is likely to test the gap last year's National Day of the upward jumps, that is near 2650. Of course, the market has not completely out of the box 2750 ~ 2900 points, on December 29 last year, the 2721 low point has not been broken, that is not new lows before the market, there are certain points and a line 2750 supporting role. So now it is clear that the two major support at a point in 2750, and the other is 2650 points, on top of this position for 3 to 4 as no more than 5 percent of the position to do short-term operation, 2750 to below 3 percent of that is to lighten up , the 2650 Powei leave entirely.

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